Global Warming, Carbon Dioxide, And The Solar Minimum


Global Warming, Carbon Dioxide, And The Solar
Minimum Since Climate Change (CC) has been a constant
of life on Gaia with the evolution of photosynthesis 3.2 billion years ago and has more complexities
than this one essay can address; ergo, this article will explore co2’s historic contribution
to global warming (GW) as well as explore the relationship of Solar Minimum(SM) to Earth’s
climate. Even before the UN-initiated Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) formed in 1988, the common assumption was that carbon dioxide
was thekey greenhouse gas and that its increases were the driving force solely responsible
for rising climate temperatures. At that time, anthropogenic (human caused)
GW was declared to be the existential crisis of our time, that the science was settled
and that we, as a civilization, were running out of time. And yet, in the intervening years, uncertainty
remained about GW’s real time impacts which may be rooted in the fact that many of IPCC’sessential
climate forecasts of consequence have not materializedas predicted. Even as the staid Economist magazine recently
noted: Over the past fifteen years, air temperatures
at the Earth’s surface have been flat while greenhouse gas emissions have continued to
soar.” Before the IPCC formed, NOAA’s Mauna Loa
Observatory in Hawaii registered co2 levelsat under 350 ppm (parts per million) with the
explicit warning that if co2 exceeded that number, Mother Earth was in Big Trouble – and
there would be no turning back for humanity. Those alarm bells continue today as co2 levels
have risen to 414 ppm as temperatures peaked in 1998. From the outset, the IPCC controlled the debate
by limiting its charter… to understanding the scientific basis of risk
of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.” In other words, before any of the science
had been done, the IPCC’s assumption was that man-made activity was responsible and
that Nature was not an active participant in a process within its own sphere of interest. As an interdisciplinary topic of multiple
diversity, the IPCC is not an authority on all the disciplines of science within the
CC domain. While there is no dispute among scientists
that the Sun and its cyclical output is the true external force driving Earth’s energy
and climate system as part of a Sun-centered Universe, the IPCC’s exclusion of the Sun
from its consideration can only be seen as a deliberate thwarting of a basic fundamental
law of science, a process which assures a free inquiry based on reason and evidence. It is the Sun which all planets of the solar
system orbit around, that has the strongest gravitational pull in the solar system, is
the heaviest of all celestial bodies and its sunspots in relation to Earth’s temperatures
has been known since Galileo began drawing sunspots in 1613. Yet the IPCC which touts a ‘scientific view
of climate change’would have us believe the Sun is irrelevant and immaterial to the
IPCC’s world view and Earth’s climate; hardly a blip on their radar. In the GW debate, co2 is dismissed as a colorless,
odorless pollutant that gets little credit as a critical component for its contribution
to life on the planet as photosynthesis does not happen without co2. A constant presence in Earth’s atmosphere
since the production of oxygen, all living organisms depend on co2 for its existence. As a net contributor to agriculture, plants
absorb co2 as they release oxygen into the atmosphere that we two- and four-leggeds depend
on for sustenance and oxygen as necessities for survival on Earth. There are scientists who believe that Earth
has been in a co2 ‘famine’ while others applaud Earth’s higher co2 levels in the
last three decades as a regreening of the planet. While An Inconvenient Truth (2006) and An
Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power (2016) stage managed the climate question as a thoroughly
politicized ‘settled science’ with former veep Al Gore declaring the drama a ‘moral’
issue, there is no room for any preference that does not depend on a rigorous, skeptical,
independent investigation based on evidentiary facts rather than the partisan politics of
emotion and subjective opinion. Given the prevalence of weather in our daily
lives, it would seem elementary for engaged citizens and budding paleoclimatologists to
understand Earth’s ancient climate history and atmospherein order to gain an informed
perspective on Earth’s current and future climate. As a complicated non-linearsystem, climate
is a variable compositionof rhythmic spontaneity with erratic and even chaotic fluctuations
making weather predictions near-impossible. Climate is an average of weather systems over
an established long term period while individual weather events indicative of a short term
trend are not accurate forecasts of CC. While ice core readings provide information,
they do not show causation of GW but only measure the ratio between co2 and rising temperatures. It is up to scientists to interpret the results. And that’s where this narrative takes, like
ancient weather and climate patterns, an unpredictable turn. It might be called an inconvenient truth that
‘skeptic’ scientists have known for the last twenty years that the Vostok ice core
samples refute co2’s role as a negative and even question its contribution as the
major greenhouse gas. It is no secret to many climate professionals
that water vapor with co2at 3.6%. Located at the center of the Antarctica ice
sheet, the Vostok Research Center is a collaborative effort where Russian and French scientists
collected undisturbed ice core data in the 1990s to measure the historic presence of
carbon dioxide levels. The Vostoksamples provided the first irrefutable
evidence of Earth’s climate history for 420,000 year including the existence of four
previous glacial and interglacial periods. Those samples ultimately challenged the earlier
premise of co2’s predominant role and that carbon dioxide was not the climate culprit
once thought. It is fair to add that IPCC related scientists
believe Vostok to be ‘outliers’ in the GW debate. The single most significant revelation of
the ice core studies has been that GW could not be solely attributed to co2 since carbon
dioxide increases occurred aftertemperature increases and that an extensive ‘lag’
time exists between the two. Logic and clear thinking demands that cause
(co2) precedes the effect (increased temps) is in direct contradiction to the assertion
that carbon dioxide has been responsible for pushing higher global temperatures. Just as today’s 414 ppm precedes current
temps which remain within the range of normal variability. Numerouspeer-reviewedstudies confirmed that
co2 lags behind temperature increases, originally by as much as 800 years. That figure was later increased to 8,000 years
and by 2017 the lag timebetween co2 and temperature had been identified as 14,000 years. As if a puzzlement from the Quantum world,
it is accepted that CO2 and temperatures are correlated as they rise and fall together,
yet are separated by a lag time of thousands of years. What is obscure from public awareness in the
GW shuffle is that geologic records have identified CC as a naturally occurring cyclewith glacial
periods of 100,000 year intervals that are interrupted by brief, warming interglacial
periods lasting 15,000-20,000 years. Those interglacial periods act as a temperate
respite from what is the world’s natural normal Ice Age environment. Within those glacial and interglacial periods
are cyclical subsets of global cooling and warming just as today’s interglacial warm
period began at the end of the Pleistocene Ice Age about 12,000 years ago. Since climate is not a constant, check these
recent examples of Earth’s climate subsets: 200 BC – 600 AD: Roman warming cycle 440 AD – 950 AD: Dark Ages cool cycle 950 AD – 1300 AD: Medieval warming cycle 1300 AD – 1850 AD: Renaissance Little Ice
Age 1850 – Present: Modern warming cycle In addition, climate records have shown that
peak co2 temperatures from the past are relative to today’s co2 level without the addition
of a fossil fuelcontribution. For instance, just as today’s measurement
at 414 ppm contains a ‘base’ co2 level of approximately 300 ppm as recorded in the
19th century, any co2 accumulation over 300 ppm would be considered anthropogenic (man-made)
and be portrayed as “historic” or ‘alarmingly high’ and yet remain statistically insignificant
compared to historic co2 norms. During the last 600 million years, only the
Carboniferous period and today’s Holocene Epoch each witnessed co2 levels at less than
400 ppm. During the Early Carboniferous Period, co2
was at 1500 ppm with average temperatures comparable to 20 C; 68 F before diving to
350 ppm during the Mid Carboniferous period with a reduced temperature of 12 C;54F. In other words, current man-made contributions
to co2 are less than what has been determined to be significant. Contrary to the IPCC’s stated goal, NASA
recognizes that “All weather on Earth, from the surface of the planet into space, begins
with the Sun” and that weather experienced on Earth’s surface is “influenced by the
small changes the Sun undergoes during its solar cycle.” A Solar Minimum(SM) is a periodic 11 year
solar cycle normally manifesting a weak magnetic field with increased radiation and cosmic
rays while exhibiting decreased sunspot activity that, in turn, decreases planetary temperatures. Today’s solar cycle is referred to as the
Grand Minimum which, according to NOAA, predicts reductions from the typical 140 – 220 sunspots
per solar cycle to 95 – 130 sunspots. As the Sun is entering “one of the deepest
Solar Minima of the Space Age,” a NASA scientist predicted a SM that could ”set a Space Age
record for cold” but has recently clarified his statement as it applies only to the Thermosphere. In October 2018, NOAA predicted “Winter
Outlook favors Warmer Temperaturefor much of the US,” as above-normal precipitation
and record freezing temperatures were experienced throughout the country. As of this writing, with the Sun noticeably
intense, Earth has experienced 22 consecutive dayswithout sunspots for a 2019 total of 95
spotless days at 59%. In 2018, 221 days were spotless at 61%. Spaceweather.com monitors sunspot (in)activity. With the usual IPCC and Non-IPCCsplit, the
SM is expected to be at its lowest by 2020 with a peak between 2023 and 2026 as it exhibits
counterintuitive erratic weather anomalies including cooler temps due to increased cloud
cover, higher temps due to solar sunspot-free brilliance, potential electrical events, heavy
rain and flooding and drought, a shorter growing season, impacts on agriculture and food production
systems or it may all be a walk in the park with shirt sleeves in January. While there is clearly an important climate
shift occurring even as the role of co2 and human activity as responsible entities remains
problematic, the elimination of co2 and its methane sidekick would be exceedingly beneficial
for a healthy planet. It is time to allow scientists to be scientists
without political agendas or bureaucratic interference as the Sun and Mother Earth continue
in their orbit as they have for eons of millennia. As Earth’s evolutionary climate cycles observe
the Universal law of the natural world, the Zero Point Field, which produces an inexhaustible
source of ‘free’ energy that Nikola Tesla spoke of, is the means by which inter stellar
vehicles travel through time/space. The challenge for ingenious, motivated Earthlings
is to harness and extract the ZPF proclaiming a new planetary age of technological innovation
with no rapacious industry, no pollution, no shortages, no gas guzzlers and no war.

Comments 4

  • Global Warming, Carbon Dioxide, And The Solar Minimum

  • Good science makes accurate predictions bad science is dogma, not one global warming prediction has ever come true.

  • A very informative article with a lot of key science explained. I do wish, in the age where my idiot, "well-educated" friends and family are used to the level of sophistry and word play of cuck and ** sucker David Brooks, that someone had edited this a bit better. I find it utterly depressing that little errors become excuses for my community to ignore otherwise sound and empirically based writing.

  • Air pollution is not good for anything

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *