Sustainable Communities Workshop-The Shrinking Timeline for Global Warming


so this session is going to be about
climate change and renewable energy so our panel will also have a chance to
answer questions at the end of the session so first we’re gonna hear from
Tim rummage he’s gonna represent the shrieking timeline for global warming
and Tim is a coordinator developer and professor of Environmental Studies at
ringing College of Design where he teaches courses on rebuilding
sustainability creating ecological cities applied environmental design and
environmental ethics after Tim we’ll hear from christine quickly about draw
down local climate solutions and christine works with the science and
environment Council the Sarasota Bay Estuary program
she has an interdisciplinary background in environmental science and management
with experience and start-up consulting and community outreach then we’re gonna
hear from Sean Sellars who’s going to discuss grassroots efforts for renewable
energy then sean is a volunteer chair of the Sarasota climate justice Coalition
and the Coalition comprises more than 15 community faiths in student groups
working together to foster resiliency promote a just and equitable transition
to a low carbon society the Coalition has been a driving force behind the
ready for 100 renewable energy campaign in the city of Sarasota and finally
we’re gonna hear from Julia Hearst who will tell us about solar solutions and
Julia serves as a co-op coordinator in the Gulf Coast of Florida for solar
united neighbors a DC based nonprofit dedicated to expanding rooftop solar she
facilitates regional solar co-ops a community driven initiative helping
people make informed decisions about going solar through a group process
first offer let’s get to our first speaker
Tim Rubin come on up let’s give him a hand your clickers right there the right way
it is a screen here you can look at in magic pointers all right so my point and
where am i pointing okay okay Ezreal no there is only one planet we’re all in
this together so the solutions have to be sort of scale to that that size okay
it says the environment could be humanity’s greatest friend or poorly
managed it’s going to be our most implacable foe the issues that we’re
doing to talk about here for a little bit are what is the kind of world we are
currently creating that kind of world that we want but what’s the law we’re
currently making at the moment recently the IPPC the International Panel for
climate change released a special report talking about the fact that we have to
try to hold climate temperature up to 1.5 degrees centigrade as sort of the
maximum rise and to do that their estimate we need to cut carbon
greenhouse gas emissions by 45 percent by 2030 and then start heading towards
carbon neutral he would have thought that at the climate conference in Paris
where they came up with climate agreements they would have thought about
this they talked about it these were the numbers that they wanted but if you
actually look at the agreement that was signed in in Paris the actual proposals
put forth ended up sending us to a three point three Celsius rise and business as
usual it takes us to about a four point two and actually the current estimate
with rising carbon dioxide is that current business takes us to five
degrees at a relatively short period of time so you know we’ve really sort of as
herd overshot the mark as to what’s going on with the tie
emissions we can have and essentially the last time we had the switch carbon
dioxide this meant a greenhouse gas is trapped in the atmosphere we are looking
at temperature rises of about two to three degrees Celsius and water being
about 10 to 20 meters higher and that’s where we’re going well get to the
temperatures first it takes a long time to melt ice so the ice will delay
fortunately but this is sort of where where you are currently headed at the
moment and we’re likely hit the 1.5 mark fairly soon unless we really started
taking some fairly drastic steps these are some current climate projections for
what air temperature what the rise in temperature will be in different parts
of the world by 2050 just at the current rate at which you are going and you will
see that all of them are above the 1.5 and basically 99% of them are above 2
which is fairly problematic so we’re we are on this cusp right now and what are
they this leads to is what’s referred to as climate separation where basically
your future climate is so much hotter than your previous climate that in your
future climate the coldest year will still be warmer than the hottest year of
your current climate that shifts everything that you can do that’s just
your food supply that shifts your water supply chips you know everything that
you’re dealing with and if you want to talk about this to sort of economic
terms you know what we’re looking at here in the US is if we slow this down
we can only lose about 280 billion dollars a year if we let it run rampant
at the moment we’re looking at about 500 billion a year in loss last year we did
306 billion in losses due to climate events and so you know this has a real
impact on the economy this is not an environmental issue that’s really the
baseline here is this is not an unless you anymore this is a social
issue it’s an economic issue it’s political issue it’s environmental issue
but it is all of those things so if you’re looking for ways to talk to
people there are lots of evidence because there isn’t anything that’s not
going to get touched by this and the other thing is that the scientists
finally come and said yeah it’s humans let’s stop well not we could stop that
dance as humans live with it or not like it or not as humans let’s move on you
know and so it really are sort of both the problem and the solution but the
issue is we don’t see ourselves that way none of the climate problems became big
suddenly they were all cumulative over all the things we did for years and
years and years and years and years and you know and that’s the way to certain
extent we’re going to be able to reverse this stuff everything we does happen the
Matt happens to matter and the changes are gonna be you know long time I’ll
flash some report titles up here a little bit but basically every report
that comes out says the one before me completely underestimated what was going
to happen is where the general trend in these reports at the moment don’t read
this there’s no good news there so I’ll just skip it and move on the really
important thing is the recent reports talk about how much faster all the
changes are going to take place we don’t use 2100 and most the
projections anymore we’re looking at you know 2040 2050 2060 you know relatively
near-term events and relatively severe you know and after the climate Accord
was signed we still went out and for the last couple years have put in more
carbon dioxide than we ever did before and we’ve increased the amount of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere which slowed down the Gulfstream we managed to
do all kinds of things since signing that report we’re also in some places
making it too hot for people to be able to work outside and too hot for people
to live in certain parts of the world and if you don’t if you think we have an
immigration concern now imagine what happens when you spend just too hot for
people to be there you know and the UN says you know is
they’re looking at their targets if this stuff if we don’t make our swap we’re
looking at 14 trillion dollars worth of damage globally hey this is an economic
issue this is a fact I came across the other day which I thought was pretty
wild that the extra heat we catch on daily basis is equivalent of dropping
four hundred thousand bombs the size of the one we dropped on Hiroshima every
day hey nobody in their right mind would do that and yet we do it every day
because we don’t see the scale okay you know in our own are gonna be impacted by
this and also they’re the ones who are going to ask us more and more questions
about it but keep in mind the scientific conversation about this has been going
on for over 190 years about global warming the public information public
discussion has been going on for over a hundred years at this point you know the
Bell Telephone our 1958 did a whole thing on climate change the petroleum
industry was told that their 100th anniversary that they were causing these
problems and decided to hide that information the 2 degrees Celsius motto
that everybody’s looking at there’s actually an economic forecast if you get
above 2 degrees that that would be bad for the economy and that’s what that was
all about the stern report also talked about the economic issues and I’m going
to jump real fast cuz apparently the clock is going much faster than I am so
as I said this is an impact on everybody and everything and person which really
happened is we have used the past as the model we haven’t asked what do we want
the world to be we asked what was the world that we had and let’s just sort of
scooch forward from there we haven’t done this with a direction and that’s
really what we need so to do the reductions that are being looked at the
idea is that it’ll cost about two and a half percent of global GDP which most
people have said is just too expensive it’s ridiculous there’s no way to spend
that much money to do this on the other hand if you actually look at report from
the International Monetary Fund what you find out is that we’re actually spending
two and a half of our growth of our global domestic product on supporting
all the things that cause the harm okay so why do that you know why not stuff
them up the money from doing the bad stuff to doing the good stuff yeah and
so if we’ve got really bad sea level comes up by eight feet and then this is
a wage 20 108 feet will arrive sooner it just got more frequent until it finally
just stay say stabilizes out at eight feet and again the World Economic Forum
has been looking at environmental issues as the major contributors to all of iron
mental rest for about the last ten years now in their annual reports in this year
and this time season the year the the person I really remember in the story of
Christmas is Marley’s ghost you know he’s the one who’s got the right mix of
things that you know it’s not just my business but it is all the other things
that I’m supposed to do as a human being that I need to take into account to make
these changes work and now I’m just a say couple more things to end this stuff
yeah we’ve got a pretty much ant fossil fuel use we got to do some different
behaviors we got to reduce the amount of fertilizer we used in agriculture we go
organic and things along that line but big thing is there’s no transition to
fossil fuels okay you can’t transition from fossil fuels to solar there in
completely different paradigms you think that a fossil fuel we’re all set up or
you think in the new set up but you’re not going to jump from one to the other
the fossil fuel is extractive it’s inefficient it provides you know keep
not energy it’s wasteful you know sixty-six percent of the energy we
generate never gets used it’s all lost in transition okay and so you know why
do you want to keep supporting something that is 66 percent inefficient okay so
and also go solar we need to do it local not far away farms we don’t want to lose
more habitat to solar farms and we can make the changes pretty fast well I
really want to New York went from horses to cars in 13 years you know
Roosevelt gave us huge plans for how much armament we’re going to have to
make or entered World War two we had no capacity to do that and we met those
goals and exceeded them it took us less than 11 years from creating NASA to land
on the moon you know when we want to do stuff we can do it we just need to make
the commitment and that’s really the issue is are we going to make the
Commission this is a will week question not a can week which question will we do
this okay thank you very much Tim thank you so much Tim if you mind
sitting down on the side of the stage over there

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